2014 Sea Ice Outlook
August Report Available
Sea Ice Prediction Network (SIPN)
Study of Environmental Arctic Change (SEARCH)
The report is available at:
http://www.arcus.org/sipn/sea-ice-outlook/2014/august
For more information, please contact:
Helen Wiggins, ARCUS
Email: helen [at] arcus.org
The August Sea Ice Outlook (SIO) report is now available at:
http://www.arcus.org/sipn/sea-ice-outlook/2014/august.
The SIO is an activity of the Sea Ice Prediction Network project (SIPN:
http://www.arcus.org/sipn) as a contribution to the Study of
Environmental Arctic Change (SEARCH: http://www.arcus.org/search-program).
The organizers thank the groups and individuals that contributed to the
2014 August report, which includes 23 pan-Arctic contributions and four
regional outlooks.
The August report has a median Outlook value for September 2014 sea ice
extent of 5.0 million square kilometers with quartiles of 4.58 and 5.22
million square kilometers. This median value is slightly higher than the
June and July values of 4.7 and 4.8, respectively. This increase
reflects the relatively slower decline in ice extent through August than
what had been projected earlier. The overall range has narrowed since
July, suggesting that the projections are tending to converge, as one
would expect with a shorter forecast period.
This month's full report includes comments on modeling outlooks and on
regional predictions, a summary of current conditions, key statements
from each Outlook, and links to view or download the full outlook
contributions.
The Sea Ice Outlook is a venue for discussion and networking and
provides a transparent exercise in both scientific sea ice predictions
as well as estimates from the public. This is the last monthly SIO for
the 2014 season. Post-season activities will provide an analysis of the
different Outlook methodologies as well as a general review of sea ice
dynamics over the summer.
All SIO/SIPN activities are announced via the Sea Ice Prediction Network
mailing list (see: http://www.arcus.org/sipn/mailing-list to join).
For more information, please contact:
Helen Wiggins, ARCUS
Email: helen [at] arcus.org
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